Worldwide with 177 countries reporting cases:
- 230,588 cases, 219,217 as of last night,
- 9,390 deaths, 8,966 last night
- 86,261 recovered (1/3 of the total cases)
U.S.
- 10,816 cases, 9,417 last night.
- 161 deaths, 154 last night
Notes CV-19's exponential growth:
- The world's first known case of CV-19 occurred sometime in November 2119.
- The US identified its first confirmed case on January 21st.
- By Friday last week, the US had 2,882 cases.
- According to Rachel Maddow, the US's growth curve is very similar to Italy's
- No measures implemented now are going to have an effect for at least a month.
- On the current growth curve, US could expect ~40,000 cases by Thursday next week.
- Also on the current growth curve, 10 million cases by this day next month is plausible.
This is scarier than any horror story I can come up with. I could only say please don't commit suicide. We're going to need every person we can spare to get through this crisis.
Place the blame on Trump. He didn't have to fire the White House Pandemic Response Team in 2017, nor cut the CDC budget for epidemic response. He knew about it happening in China as early as December, and at the very latest, should have responded to the first US case. Instead, he dismissed it, called it a hoax, called it fake news, and asserted it was all about attacking him. He pissed away at least 9 weeks, then responded at first by appointing a task force for spin control. That time lost will cost us hundreds of thousands of lives, and leave us with an economy that will cost us more.
Italy, which is suffering the worst from this pandemic reported 470 people died of it yesterday alone. (It's not certain that number includes people who died complications like bacterial pneumonia.) Their medical system is in total collapse, and it was rated as excellent by WHO. Like Trump and the US, they were dismissive of the virus at first. Like Italy, we are two months behind an exponential curve. There's no way we're going to catch up on the curve before our healthcare system collapses from the strain.
Meanwhile, the markets are showing their confidence in Trump, dropping whenever he announces another measure. Never mind that he's using the war powers act to take over industries. Trump's poor administrator, and there's no doubt of this. I also fear that after years of cuts and humiliation from Republicans, the US government is no longer structured to handle such an emergency. Add to that: Trump hires for personal loyalty and nothing else. His other hires have been clueless or careless. Trump putting himself in charge of our industries is like Tsar Nicholas II taking personal command of Russia's military during World War I. All he's going to do is turn it into a clusterfuck and discredit him even further.
No comments:
Post a Comment