Sunday, February 21, 2021

Trump's Faithful

The Insurrectionists weren’t “hoodwinked.” They were accomplices. I can’t respect the motives of people who were warned for decades that the media outlets they trusted were neither credible nor honorable; that the Christian Nationalist pastors listened to had un-saintly motives and were false prophets. They despised the people who warned them most. These RW nuts bought their news like consumers, and chose the narrative they wanted to believe. They were complicit because it made them heroes and God’s warriors against conspiracies to destroy the pure goodness the Founders created. They fed their egos off that fantasy. But it wasn't free entertainment; the fantasy had its price.

It’s just now beginning to sink in that, hey, their Fearless Leader didn’t march with them, and that he wasn’t even with them metaphorically. No, they were just his entertainment. He laughed watching them play out the reality show he stage-managed. 

And the worst betrayal of all, he didn’t even pardon for them before he left office. It’s going to take a year or more for all this to sink in, but it’s happening. As they’re going through that, the media outlets they trusted are all being sued into bankruptcy, not just for lying, but for passing on Donald Trump’s lies. In fact, the insurrectionists all lied for him, with him, and about him. This is the basest of the base of Trump’s support, and they might become his worst enemies.

Saturday, February 13, 2021

Why Do People Believe in Trump?

 What is Trump's appeal? That's always puzzled me. For some reason, I was able to see through the guy early. I never had a high opinion, but he was always easy to avoid. He was a phony, a greedy con-artist, who had absolutely no skills, and whose lifetime super-ability appeared to be making massive amounts of money disappear. One was lying, another was teaching his base how to lie with, for, and about him.

Trump is going to make whole academic careers. Social psychologists will write their theses on him and the hold that he has on 40% of Americans. Psychopathologists are going to be studying his voluminous Tweets to understand clinical narcissism and socio-pathology. 

Perhaps the most interesting and frightening thing about him was how swiftly he got a faithful following. It was as though I woke up one day in April 2016 and discovered that 40% of Americans had converted to Scientology overnight and L. Ron Hubbard had resurrected to assume leadership.  

Most Republicans still believe Trump, but why wouldn't GOP senators vote to bar him office? A lot of it was that they unemployment more than death itself. Yet, that's not really different from most people.

I have noted before how much Trump swore by vengeance. For anyone who slighted him in the least, Trump would try to destroy them, even in the pettiest ways. Even following the law is no excuse to Trump, as the hit he took out on Mike Pence illustrates. Now, it might be true that other presidents like Lyndon Johnson would get revenge, but never to the point of completely destroying enemies, and he would also forgive people. Trump would have none of that.  

No, it's no coincidence that authoritarians are extremely vengeful people. Putin's the best example. His enemies keep getting poisoned. Fact is, name any dictator/authoritarian and you will find they're all remarkably vindictive. In the underworld, vengeance is a consistent principle.

I believe that Trump's vindictiveness is the key to his rise to success as a demagogue. 
 
A reputation of vindictiveness is an intimidating quality. Trump with his low rasping voice, somehow off-key even in speech, sounding like he's suffering GERD/reflux. It drips with threat and harshness. You could tell he's a bully.

One fictional character who's also vengeful is Yahweh-God, and Allah. In fact, in our culture, we're trained to submit to a vindictive God, and his evangelical base is groomed to fear Hell.

Therefore, I think people sense Trump's constant implied threat and respond to it the same way they respond to fear of Hell. With both, they try to make themselves look virtuous by calling their fear "respect" or even joy. Some deny it to the point that they will literally see him as Godlike, or at least one of Cloudbeard's messengers and prophets.  It's the real reasons evangelicals respond to it: they're already groomed to follow a bully God, and to fear his wrath. It's an emotional, and not a rational or reasoned out influence.

And they fear Trump's followers, who will believe him and serve his every wish. They will keep themselves in denial about how they also fear him, and they'll spin their fear as patriotism. What's more, they'll act as checks on each others' doubts.

Outside the Marvel universe, which is about as unaware of real-world power as fiction can get, a person's power is defined by how many people will follow his wishes, with modifiers for how long they'll follow it, to what difficulty, against at what risk, and how immoral they're willing to be for their master. It doesn't matter how the person does it: through economic power (money, salaries, retainers), through sheer threat and force, political power, bullying, or even just through gentle persuasion. People have social tendencies. They try to form up into groups against other people they fear.  

What's so amazing about Trump is how deeply in denial they bury doubts about him. The most harmful thing about Trump is that he's taught his followers to lie with him, for him, and about him. Once a politician accomplishes that, he need only golf and enjoy his dictatorship. His followers will lie to each other, blinding each other to his every failing and flaw, spinning his defeats into victories. This is why GOP senators are supporting him.

Trump isn't like authoritarians we see in fiction. He's not a criminal mastermind. He had some good instincts about power, but it came from a background of having power handed, and being allowed to bully people with it. He never quite had the grasp of political power, especially in a democracy like the US. I believe he always thought the presidency was a dictatorship and couldn't understand why other presidents were always so restrained. As a sociopath, he could only see that restraint as weakness. His narcissism makes him believe that everyone thinks just like him, only they're weak and dumb.

He honestly thought Clinton, Biden and whoever stood in his way were guilty of something because he was. He believed all he had to do was focus people's attention on it, and their crimes would become plain. No coincidence this is exactly how the GOP acted about Hillary Clinton. No matter how many times she was proved not guilty, the GOP base became more convinced of her wrongdoing. The fact that they didn't find any simply meant that she was also a criminal mastermind.    

Trump definitely wasn't one. He wasn't intelligent: i.e. he sent a confession of his Ukraine caper to Nancy Pelosi, and was then stunned that he was immediately impeached. He was a liar, but he had no subtlety or guile. You could see his insurrection coming months away. His influence over his followers is still great, but his power is mortally wounded.

Once people begin to realize that his power to take revenge is in eclipse, his people will grow distracted and doubtful. Give it six months to a year, and ambitious politician like Cruz or Hawley will begin to pick apart his following.

Unfortunately, those two have learned from Trump, and they're much more intelligent. If Republicans win the next presidential election, it'll be the last election. A marginal win in one election won't get the US out of this crisis. The Dems must win the next three elections, by higher and higher margins.

Tuesday, February 9, 2021

Impeachment Trial: The Rematch

Today, in barely less than two hours, we'll see the political bout of the still (sigh😞) young millennium. In one corner, the current champion, only-once defeated, Don "The Cro-Magnon Demagogue" Trump. In this corner are eight Democratic Pencil Necks. The biased referee is the once-greatest legislative body in the world, the US Senate, trying to redeem itself after a decade of Turtle rule. The judge is old enough to be your grandfather's grandfather, bringing wisdom to spare, but with the acuity of a houseplant.

What this means to me personally is I'm not going to get any work done this afternoon, and probably not for the week.

Trump's actions need to be given public trial. It's overdue. The country needs that much.

The consequences of the Senate ratifying the charges? He'll be barred from office, but more immediately, he'll lose his Secret Service protection. This is important because an attempt to arrest Trump will conflict with the Secret Service's mission to protect him. I think the AG of New York is waiting to see if he has to deal with that in his arrest warrant. Straightening out that inter-agency conflict is going to literally take a court-case on its own, or an Act of Congress and then a court case.   

If he's not found guilty, Congress will then vote on invoking the 14th Amendment against Trump, which would prevent him from ever holding office. The constitutionality of that move isn't in question, and it only takes a simple majority of both Houses.

As important as it is for the country to face Trump's guilt in the insurrection, it's as important that he be barred from office.   

UPDATE: Turns out I figured the time zone wrong. The impeachment already started by the time I posted this. The senate did do something very important: it decided that you can impeach someone who's out of office to keep them from taking office ever again, just like the Constitution obviously says.