Tuesday, January 12, 2021

DON'T BLAME PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN FOR THESE CONSEQUENCES

 Tomorrow, I'll post the good things that I believe might happen when the troubles all shake out. But I'm not in the mood for that today.

This afternoon, I'm making a list of what I believe are inevitable consequences we'll suffer, NO MATTER WHAT BIDEN DOES.

With more transmittable mutant strains of Covid spreading here and abroad, all with unpredictable symptoms and mortality, I think these will be the consequences:

-Expect the total deaths from COVID to double in the US by summer. A SIGNIFICANT number will be children.

-By then, every survivor will have a friend or family member who died of COVID. By the end of the year, every survivor might know two or more people who died of it.

-The economy in the US is going to get worse.

-International trade is going to grind almost to a halt.

Results from the Trump unrest (with COVID spreading):

-Right Wing terrorism will grow into the spring. It might start to diminish then, when hopes for Trump reclaiming the throne fade, or if COVID decimates them. 

-Some state houses might be taken, and we'll have state governments in exile, at least for week or two. But finally, they will fail. The Republic won't buckle.

-More law enforcement will be killed or injured by RW terrorists than done by BLM in the last five years. (Because Blue Lives Matter, unless they oppose Trump terrorists.)

-COVID will turn disproportionately harsh in rural areas that lack access to medical care, and it won't relent until the terrorism dies down.

-It will also grow disproportionately hard on RW terrorists, because of their COVID denial, their conspiracy delusions about it, AND THEIR POLITICAL CORRECTNESS ABOUT PPE. /s

-The rebellion will weaken government relief and vaccination programs. They will be minimal at least until summer.

-Some cities will suffer at least limited blockades by RW terrorists in the countryside.

-We'll see a lot of homeless, and endemic starvation in public, which will aggravate the epidemic.

-The military will have to be mobilized to retake some state houses, but the Republic itself won't be threatened.

-We'll lose important ground on the world stage, and then we'll realize just how important our high prestige in the world had been to our quality of life. 

-We'll have to import MORE products and food, adding to our trade deficit, and making industry flight and outsourcing more prevalent, not less. (The very opposite of Trump's promises.)

-We'll also have to bring in more immigrants due to labor shortages. (Also, the very opposite of Trump's promises.).

-The value of government bonds will decline, and we'll probably see a rating hit. This will make funding a recovery and other programs much more difficult.

I believe these outcomes are already set. Of course, the future is inherently unpredictable, but don't blame President Biden or a Democratic Congress for these things.

They will happen because of actions and inactions by Trump, his enablers, and his followers. Their cynicism about government itself; their hatred of Democrats, Liberals, science, outsourcing, etc, their laundry list of hatreds; and their hate-driven conspiracy fantasies.

Trump has been a disaster for the US on the order of another, if a non-nuclear (so far) World War.

I won't guess about or call for punishment for him. It's up to the DOJ to investigate and see what charges it can make, and then it's up to the judicial branch. It's completely unpredictable. 

However, for those who still justify Trump's actions over the last four years I have some advice: you better pray there's no God, because IMHO, that would be your best chance to avoid joining Trump in Hell. Yes, I'm an atheist, but anybody can be wrong.  

PS. If this is winning, I'm tired of it. So, Trump did, hypothetically, keep one promise.

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